{"id":295,"date":"2018-08-28T10:12:36","date_gmt":"2018-08-28T07:12:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/?p=295"},"modified":"2018-08-28T10:12:36","modified_gmt":"2018-08-28T07:12:36","slug":"abdli-uzman-acikladi-iste-turkiyede-gercek-enflasyon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/diger\/gundem\/abdli-uzman-acikladi-iste-turkiyede-gercek-enflasyon\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD’li uzman a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131: \u0130\u015fte T\u00fcrkiye’de ger\u00e7ek enflasyon"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hanke, \u201cz\u0131mni enflasyon modeli\u201d ismini verdi\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda dolar kuru \u00fczerinden sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc paritesi (SGP) de\u011ferini de hesaba katarak enflasyon rakam\u0131n\u0131 tespit ediyor. Ancak kur ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011fi oran\u0131n\u0131 birebir kabul etmesi ve t\u00fcm fiyatlar i\u00e7in dolar varsay\u0131m\u0131 yapmas\u0131 nedeniyle baz\u0131 ekonomistler Hanke’in y\u00f6ntemini kabul etmiyor.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6zc\u00fc’den Nuray Tarhan’\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re; SGP metodolojisi, ekonomi literat\u00fcr\u00fcnde de tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan bir hesaplama. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye’de son 2 y\u0131lda petrol ve demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n dolar baz\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 enflasyonun hesaplanan\u0131n \u00fczerinde oldu\u011fu tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

PARA ARZI FAZLA ARTTI<\/p>\n

Steve Hanke, 24 Haziran’da Forbes Dergisi’nde kaleme ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 makalede de y\u0131ll\u0131k may\u0131s enflasyonunun ger\u00e7ekte y\u00fczde 10.85 de\u011fil, onun 3.6 kat\u0131 yani y\u00fczde 39.2 oldu\u011funu savunmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Hanke, makalesinde \u201cpara miktar\u0131 teorisi\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yla yola \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yakla\u015f\u0131ma g\u00f6re, piyasadaki para arz\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa k\u0131sa vadede \u00fcretim d\u00fczeyi art\u0131yor ancak uzun vadede potansiyel d\u00fczeyine iniyor. B\u00f6ylece fiyat d\u00fczeyindeki art\u0131\u015fla kal\u0131n\u0131yor. Steve Hanke, makalesinde T\u00fcrkiye’nin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k para arz\u0131 verileri denkleme uyguland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye’nin para arz\u0131 i\u00e7in alt\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 13 oldu\u011funu belirterek, \u201c2014’ten bu yana, geni\u015f para arz\u0131, y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama y\u00fczde 16 h\u0131z\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyor. 2016’dan bu yana oran daha da artarak y\u00fczde 18’e y\u00fckseldi\u201d yorumunu yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kaynak bundle<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hanke, \u201cz\u0131mni enflasyon modeli\u201d ismini verdi\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda dolar kuru \u00fczerinden sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc paritesi (SGP) de\u011ferini de hesaba katarak enflasyon rakam\u0131n\u0131 tespit ediyor. Ancak kur ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011fi oran\u0131n\u0131 birebir kabul etmesi ve t\u00fcm fiyatlar i\u00e7in dolar varsay\u0131m\u0131 yapmas\u0131 nedeniyle baz\u0131 ekonomistler Hanke’in y\u00f6ntemini kabul etmiyor. S\u00f6zc\u00fc’den Nuray Tarhan’\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re; SGP metodolojisi, ekonomi literat\u00fcr\u00fcnde de tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":296,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":""},"categories":[54,25],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=295"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":297,"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295\/revisions\/297"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/296"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=295"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=295"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kampuskod.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=295"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}